Decision Making

Cognitive Biases

How irrational thinking shapes decisions

Key Insight

Humans make predictable irrational decisions driven by cognitive biases—systematic patterns of deviation from rational judgment.

Key Points

  • Anchoring: the first piece of information disproportionately influences all subsequent judgments
  • Loss aversion: losses feel roughly 2× more painful than equivalent gains feel good
  • Default effect: people overwhelmingly stick with pre-selected options rather than actively choosing
  • Choice overload: too many options lead to decision paralysis and reduced satisfaction
  • Confirmation bias: people seek, interpret, and remember information that confirms existing beliefs
  • Framing effect: the same information presented differently leads to different decisions
  • [FIGURE 10.1 — System 1 vs System 2] Shows: Illustration of fast intuitive thinking (System 1) vs slow deliberate reasoning (System 2). Teaches: Most decisions are made by fast, automatic System 1 thinking which is susceptible to biases. Reproduce as: Dual-process diagram with example decisions.

Guidelines

  • Use anchoring intentionally—show the premium plan first to make the standard plan feel reasonable
  • Frame actions in terms of what users lose by NOT acting (loss aversion) for important decisions
  • Set smart defaults that serve most users well—the majority will never change them
  • Limit choices to 3-5 options per decision point to prevent choice overload
  • Present information in positive frames for engagement, negative frames for caution
  • Be ethical: leverage biases to help users make better decisions, not to manipulate

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